Politics | President Obama Obama Leads by 4%, Lags by 3%, or Both: Polls And pollster calls Nate Silver 'a thin and effeminate man' By Neal Colgrass Posted Oct 28, 2012 3:00 PM CDT Copied President Barack Obama speaks during a visit to the National Response Coordination Center at the Federal Emergency Management Agency hHeadquarters in Washington, on Sunday, Oct. 28, 2012. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin) Margin of error, here we come: President Obama is up 49% to 46% over Mitt Romney among likely voters in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, a 1-point boost from yesterday's results. But should that leave you too elated or upset: The Rasmussen Reports' daily poll has Romney up by 50% to 47%, and says he leads among unaffiliated voters by 11 points. Gallup has Obama up by 48% to 47% among registered voters, and Romney up by 50% to 46% among likely voters, in a "seven-day rolling average" of its daily poll. Breaking down a few state polls at his Five Thirty-Eight blog, Nate Silver forecasts Obama winning Ohio by 2 points despite having lost ground there. Silver adds that Obama will take Minnesota by 6.8% and has a 59.8% chance of winning Virginia. Less scientifically, pollster Dean Chambers has denounced Silver as "a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice." See Chambers' full piece at Examiner.com. Read These Next Her blood isn't compatible with anyone else's. Iran's supreme leader makes first public comments since ceasefire. New Fox star, 23, misses first day after car troubles. Rubio says the fate of Iran's conversion facility is what matters. Report an error