polls

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Trump Campaign Fires Pollsters Over 'Fake Numbers'

The president apparently blew up over internal polling

(Newser) - President Trump's re-election campaign is saying sayonara to some of its own pollsters after their bad-news data leaked in recent days, NBC News reports. Trump denied this week that such polls exist, but now a campaign source says certain internal pollsters are getting the ax. "We are winning...

Results of an Instagram Poll May Have Spurred Tragedy

Malaysian girl apparently killed herself after asking online if she should live or die

(Newser) - A gruesome online poll, with a tragic aftermath. It happened in Malaysia, where a 16-year-old girl decided to survey the masses on whether she should live or die. The Guardian reports that, per police, the teen put up her poll on Instagram, with the comment: "Really Important, Help Me...

We Have a New Dem Frontrunner— by a Lot, per New Poll

Former VP gets 39% of Dems, Democratic-leaning independents, is easy frontrunner

(Newser) - Before he even announced his intent to run for president, Joe Biden found himself in the news for less savory reasons, facing down complaints from women who'd felt uncomfortable by unwelcome hugs, kissing, and touching by him. Now that he's officially in the running, the headlines don't...

Trump's Approval Rating Is Now at Its Highest Ever

Reaches 45%, thanks to sky-high ranking among Republicans

(Newser) - A new poll from the Wall Street Journal and NBC News contains some stats that President Trump might be boasting about soon, but also some warning signs for the White House. The big takeaway is that Trump's overall approval rating has hit an all-time high of 45%—and that...

Supreme Court Scraps Law on What Voters Can Wear

Minnesota barred political messages, but the justices said the rule wasn't specific enough

(Newser) - The Supreme Court has struck down a century-old Minnesota law banning political apparel at polling places. In a 7-2 ruling, the court said the law was written too broadly to be reasonably enforced without violating First Amendment rights, reports Bloomberg . All states regulate political apparel at polling sites, but only...

Moore: If You Don&#39;t Believe in My Character, Don&#39;t Vote for Me
Roy Moore Lashes Out
in Final Campaign Rally
THE RUNDOWN

Roy Moore Lashes Out in Final Campaign Rally

'One of our attorneys is a Jew,' his wife says

(Newser) - "If you don't believe in my character, don't vote for me," Roy Moore said at a campaign rally on the eve of Tuesday's Senate election in Alabama, once again lashing out at the women who've accused him of sexual misconduct. BuzzFeed describes the rally...

Per One Poll, Trump's Approval Rating Is Up to 50%

But other polls paint a different picture

(Newser) - President Trump retweeted a Drudge Report post Monday morning that announced the commander in chief's approval rating is back up to 50%, with 50% disapproving of his job performance, per a Monday Rasmussen Reports poll. The daily presidential tracking gauge notes that Trump's thumbs-up numbers peaked at 59%...

Why So Many Pollsters Were So Completely Wrong
Why So Many
Pollsters Were So
Completely Wrong
THE RUNDOWN

Why So Many Pollsters Were So Completely Wrong

Some theories as to where it went off the rails

(Newser) - The prevailing question the morning after Donald Trump's stunning victory is: How did so many get it so wrong? An "absolutely unreal" "Chance of Winning Presidency" graphic on the New York Times' forecasting page Tuesday evening showed Trump ascending from a 20% chance of winning the White...

Get Ready for an &#39;Unprecedented Election Day Experiment&#39;
Get Ready for
an 'Unprecedented
Election Day Experiment'
election 2016

Get Ready for an 'Unprecedented Election Day Experiment'

Exit poll results to be released in real time for 7 battleground states

(Newser) - In the old days (meaning before this election), results from exit polls weren't released by the news groups until all polls had closed. But thanks to a joint initiative via Slate, Vice News, and a company called Votecastr , how exit polls are handled this time around will be a...

National Poll Shows Trump in the Lead

But barely

(Newser) - The presidential race looks closer than some would've thought possible less than a month ago. A week from Election Day, an ABC News / Washington Post poll shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton nationally among likely voters, but only by 0.7% with a 3-point margin of error. Still,...

Gary Johnson Continues Slide in Polls

Libertarian candidate's numbers started plunging after he didn't make debates

(Newser) - Gary Johnson has been making a valiant go of it, but the Libertarian Party's candidate for president is starting to see his numbers slip away at the polls—or, as the Boston Globe puts it, "Gary Johnson is no longer a thing." Politico reports that about half...

Trump&#39;s Chance of Getting to 270 Is Shrinking
Trump's Chance of
Getting to 270
Is Shrinking
the rundown

Trump's Chance of Getting to 270 Is Shrinking

Polls suggest he's in trouble in crucial states

(Newser) - Friday morning brings another spate of Donald Trump stories. Some of the big ones generating headlines:
  • Trump's path to victory is in trouble based on the latest polls in North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, while the campaign seems to have given up entirely on Virginia. "It's hard
...

Polls: Trump, Clinton Basically Tied in 2 Swing States

Hillary has 1-point lead in Pennsylvania, Trump in Colorado

(Newser) - New CNN/ORC polls released Monday have Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump practically in a dead heat in two battleground states, with just one point separating the two, CNN reports. In Colorado , Trump is the one in the lead, nabbing 42% of likely voters to Clinton's 41% (Libertarian Gary Johnson...

As Debate Nears, Clinton Leads by 6 Points

But FiveThirtyEight says she can't claim a rebound quite yet

(Newser) - For those not yet suffering from poll fatigue, new results are out right before the first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on Monday. Per an NBC News /Wall Street Journal poll, its first general-election survey of likely voters, Clinton leads Trump by 6 points. The poll was taken...

2 Polls, 2 Significantly Different Results

One major poll puts Trump ahead by 2 points—but electoral college poll gives solid advantage to Clinton

(Newser) - Ever-shifting polls have offered a sometimes-confusing picture of this year's presidential race, with CNN noting Hillary Clinton has taken the lead over Donald Trump more often than not. But a new CNN-ORC poll of 886 registered voters and 786 likely voters, taken between Sept. 1 and Sept. 4,...

Trump Lawyer on Negative Polls: 'Says Who?'

'Which polls?' he asks in awkward interview

(Newser) - Donald Trump's lawyer has apparently decided that it's his turn to make the gaffes. In an interview with CNN Wednesday, notoriously combative Trump Organization attorney Michael Cohen interrupted host Brianna Keilar when she said that the campaign was "down," Politico reports. "Says who?" he asked....

Trump Catches Clinton in National Polls: What It Means

The key thing to keep in mind: It's only May

(Newser) - Not too long ago, Hillary Clinton held double-digit leads over Donald Trump in a hypothetical one-on-one matchup. Trump, however, has now actually edged ahead of her in an average of national polls compiled at RealClearPolitics . The development has prompted all kinds of analysis. Some highlights:
  • "Mr. Trump has made
...

Cruz Trounces Trump in New Iowa Poll

Texas senator can likely thank Dr. Ben Carson for his new 5-point lead

(Newser) - Ben Carson's loss may be Ted Cruz's gain—and responsible for the new thorn in Donald Trump's side, at least in Iowa. The Texas senator zipped ahead of Trump in a new Monmouth University poll released Monday, the New York Times reports. Cruz, who garnered support...

'The Doctor Sinks' in New Quinnipiac Poll

Ben Carson falls 7 points to 3rd place, with 16% to Trump's 27%

(Newser) - While nothing seems to be able to topple Donald "Teflon Don" Trump, Ben Carson isn't enjoying the same kind of luck. The former neurosurgeon plummeted 7 percentage points in a newly released Quinnipiac University poll , falling to third place with 16%, Politico reports. Meanwhile, Trump absorbed 3 points,...

There's a New Leader of GOP Pack: Ben Carson

Ben Carson has overtaken Donald Trump in new national poll

(Newser) - Lindsey Graham is probably still shaking his befuddled head after results from the latest national poll showing who's in the lead for the GOP nomination. This time it's Ben Carson on top, per a CBS News/New York Times poll, showing that the retired neurosurgeon has obviously not taken...

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