battleground states

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Trump Gains Strength in 3 Battleground States

He leads in Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia, according to New York Times poll

(Newser) - Major new polls are coming out with increased frequency as the 2024 campaign enters the home stretch, and the latest from the New York Times and Siena College should please the campaign of Donald Trump. It shows the former president with increased strength in the three swing states of Arizona,...

Pennsylvania Poll Results Are a 'Bit of a Puzzle'

NYT says Harris is ahead in key battleground state but tied with Trump nationwide

(Newser) - Pennsylvania and its 19 electoral votes could be key to winning the White House in November—and it's currently neck and neck between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, according to one of two major polls. The candidates are in a statistical tie in the state, with 48% of likely...

Wisconsin Has Bad News for Three Trump Operatives

Attorney Kenneth Chesebro, 2 others charged with filing false paperwork alleging Trump had won the state

(Newser) - Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul filed felony forgery charges against two attorneys and an aide as part of a plan to subvert President Biden's victory over Donald Trump in the battleground state in 2020, per the AP . The charges were filed against Trump attorneys Kenneth Chesebro and Jim Troupis,...

Poll Shows Trump Leading Biden in Decisive States

Voters in battlegrounds suggest they're switching sides this time

(Newser) - Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in five of the six swing states that figure to be critical to winning the 2024 presidential election, a new poll shows, with voters expressing concern or unhappiness over the president's age and job performance. At the same time, the New York Times reports,...

Polls in a Crucial State Illustrate Trump's Challenge
Ahead of Debate, Polls
in Crucial State May Be Telling
the rundown

Ahead of Debate, Polls in Crucial State May Be Telling

President trails Biden by 9 points in Pennsylvania, though this is similar to 2016 numbers

(Newser) - Two new polls out of the pivotal state of Pennsylvania are getting lots of attention ahead of the first presidential debate . Both show Joe Biden up by 9 points over President Trump, with Biden seeming to make inroads with groups that backed the president in the 2016 race. Coverage:
  • The
...

After the Primaries, an Ominous Sign on Mail-In Ballots

At least 500,000 rejected, signaling a possible 'mess' in the general, especially in swing states

(Newser) - All eyes are trained on Nov. 3, expected to be the most chaotic election in modern US history. Now, a new possible wrench that has some worried the battle may be prolonged way past Election Day, as well as about disenfranchisement. The Washington Post reports that nearly 535,000 mail-in...

Battleground States Are Tilting Toward Biden

He's up in 6 states Trump carried in 2016, and by double digits in some of them

(Newser) - The latest polls haven't been good news for President Trump, and a new one from the New York Times and Siena College has a particularly rough takeaway for his campaign: Joe Biden is leading in six pivotal battleground states. The survey, taken June 8-18, has Biden up in Michigan...

Clinton Buys $63K in Weather Channel Ads Pre-Hurricane

This could be a smart buy in battleground state of Florida—or it could backfire

(Newser) - One wouldn't think buying commercial spots on the Weather Channel would be the obvious media choice for presidential candidates vying for votes, but with Hurricane Matthew barreling toward the battleground states of Florida and North Carolina just a month before Election Day, that's exactly what Hillary Clinton's...

Polls: Trump, Clinton Basically Tied in 2 Swing States

Hillary has 1-point lead in Pennsylvania, Trump in Colorado

(Newser) - New CNN/ORC polls released Monday have Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump practically in a dead heat in two battleground states, with just one point separating the two, CNN reports. In Colorado , Trump is the one in the lead, nabbing 42% of likely voters to Clinton's 41% (Libertarian Gary Johnson...

Democrats Think 3 Long-Red States Are in Play

Arizona, Georgia, and even Utah

(Newser) - Hillary Clinton's campaign has stepped up its efforts to win two states that haven't voted Democratic in a presidential election since another Clinton was on the ballot: Arizona and Georgia. Perhaps more surprising, they have hopes in Utah, too. Democratic sources tell the Washington Post that Clinton's...

An Hour-by-Hour Guide to Election Night

Things start cooking at 6pm EST

(Newser) - Today's the day ... but not much will happen until tonight. An hourly rundown of what to watch for in the quest for the big 270 (all times EST):
  • 6pm: And the polls start closing! Indiana and Kentucky are the first to close a portion of their polls. The states
...

Let the 3-Day Home Stretch Begin

Romney, Obama hit the swing states

(Newser) - Quick, rattle off as many of the "battleground states" as you can. Points for Ohio, Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada, Wisconsin, Iowa, and New Hampshire. Partial credit for Pennsylvania, where Mitt Romney is still hoping for an upset, reports AP . And now you have a good idea where...

Orlando Sentinel Switches to Romney

Florida paper had endorsed Obama last time around

(Newser) - Good news for Mitt Romney out of the battleground state of Florida: After endorsing President Obama in 2008, the Orlando Sentinel is backing Romney this time around, CNN reports. Its reasons: "anemic" economic growth and the increasing poverty rate. "We have little confidence that Obama would be more...

Nate Silver's 1st Forecast: Obama By a Nose
Nate Silver's 1st Forecast:
Obama By a Nose
Analysis

Nate Silver's 1st Forecast: Obama By a Nose

FiveThirtyEight guru lays out 2012 model

(Newser) - OK, it's official, the general election season has begun: Nate Silver has started forecasting it. The stats guru today unveiled his first, tenuous prediction for the 2012 race: That President Obama is ever so slightly favored to win a second term. The model currently gives Obama a 60% chance...

Google May Have Misdirected Thousands of Voters

Election Center polling place finder packed with errors

(Newser) - Hundreds of thousands of voters who used Google to find their assigned polling places may have been sent to the wrong spot. Aristotle, a political technology firm that makes a polling place finder of its own, calculates that one of Google's Election Center apps may have given the wrong information...

McAuliffe Denies DNC Offered Money to Nader

Spokesman slams Nader's claim he was bribed to avoid key states in '04

(Newser) - Ralph Nader's claim that then-DNC chairman Terry McAuliffe offered him cash to stay out of key state races in 2004 is far from the truth, McAuliffe campaign strategist Mo Elleithee tells the Blue Virginia blog. McAuliffe did speak to Nader—who Elleithee claims was being funded by the GOP—to...

Politico's Play-by-Play Guide to Game Time Tonight

(Newser) - At 5 tonight, a wave of exit-polling results will be distributed to media insiders, who'll try manfully to resist sharing anything that might prejudice voters—even though it will kill them. At 6 pm, the results will start rolling in, and Politico gives you a play-by-play guide to what to...

Undecided Voters Agree: Choosing Is Tough

Undecideds waiting for candidates to provide tell-tale slip-up

(Newser) - Undecided voters want one thing from John McCain and Barack Obama: a reason to vote for one of them—or not. “I’m waiting for one of them to shoot himself in the leg,” one torn Floridian tells the LA Times. "I just don't trust politicians,"...

Amish Could Give McCain Crucial Swing-State Support

Many members of sect, concentrated in Ohio, Pa., voted Bush in '04

(Newser) - With John McCain now focused on winning Ohio, Indiana and Pennsylvania, he could get help from a group that has traditionally avoided politics: the Amish. When they do vote, Amish are thought to be 100% Republican because of their views on abortion, Benjamin Sarlin writes in the Daily Beast; George...

Candidates Bombard Swing States With Radio Ads

Campaigns like low cost, lower accountability

(Newser) - Although conventional radio may seem obsolete, it is an important tool of the presidential campaigns this year, USA Today reports. Political advertising is flooding the airwaves in battleground states as the campaigns take advantage of the cost: $500 to $600 per airing for a 30-second spot in Northern Virginia, compared...

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